金晟富：8.28黄金上涨遇阻谨防变盘！日内黄金行情分析参考

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the gold market, highlighting the influence of U.S. Federal Reserve policies, geopolitical risks, and upcoming economic data on gold prices. The market is at a crossroads, with various factors shaping its future trajectory. Group 1: Market Influences - Gold prices are currently trading around $3,390.47 per ounce, showing stability amid uncertainties from the Federal Reserve's policies and geopolitical risks [1] - The market anticipates the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, which is expected to maintain a 2.6% increase for July, influencing gold's price movements [1][2] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September is over 87%, providing some support for gold prices [2] Group 2: Economic Data Impact - If the PCE data shows stronger inflationary pressures, it could challenge the market's expectations for a rate cut, potentially leading to significant fluctuations in gold prices [1][2] - The Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates is heavily dependent on upcoming economic data, which adds uncertainty to gold price forecasts [2] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Recent trading strategies suggest a focus on short positions around $3,393, with potential targets set at $3,375 to $3,365 [3][5] - The article emphasizes the importance of monitoring key support and resistance levels, with $3,373 identified as a critical support point for potential rebounds [5]