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赛轮轮胎(601058):原料成本叠加贸易摩擦拖累业绩 持续全球化布局和产品升级

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance in its 2025 H1 financial results, with revenue growth but a decline in net profit, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability amidst rising costs and international trade barriers [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2025 H1, the company achieved revenue of 17.587 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.05%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.831 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.90% [1]. - The gross margin was 24.53%, down 4.24 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 10.70%, down 3.71 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - For Q2 2025, revenue was 9.175 billion yuan, up 16.76% year-on-year and 9.08% quarter-on-quarter, but net profit fell to 792 million yuan, down 29.11% year-on-year and 23.70% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Production and Sales - The company achieved record high tire production and sales in Q2 2025, with production and sales volumes of 20.7172 million and 19.7710 million tires, respectively, representing increases of 14.09% and 10.07% year-on-year [2]. - Domestic revenue was 3.980 billion yuan, up 9.21% year-on-year, while overseas revenue reached 13.413 billion yuan, an increase of 18.72% year-on-year [2]. Market Challenges - The company faced pressure from international trade barriers, including expanded tariffs by the U.S. and anti-dumping investigations by the EU, which negatively impacted profit margins [2]. - The overall price of key raw materials increased by 0.82% year-on-year, despite a decline in prices during Q2 for natural rubber, synthetic rubber, and carbon black [2]. Global Expansion Strategy - The company is enhancing its global footprint, with planned production capacities in Vietnam, Cambodia, Indonesia, Mexico, and Egypt, totaling 9.75 million all-steel radial tires and 49 million semi-steel radial tires annually [3]. - Investments in new production facilities are aimed at improving supply chain responsiveness and accelerating global expansion [3]. Product Development - The company is focusing on high-end product development, including the "Liquid Gold Tire," which has overcome significant technical challenges, enhancing its competitive edge [4]. - The company’s all-steel and semi-steel tires have received positive market feedback, contributing to record sales in both domestic and international markets [4]. Investment Outlook - The company is expected to continue its revenue growth trajectory, with projected revenues of 36.640 billion, 41.490 billion, and 45.940 billion yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 15.2%, 13.2%, and 10.7% respectively [5]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 4.272 billion, 5.168 billion, and 5.815 billion yuan, with corresponding growth rates of 5.2%, 21.0%, and 12.5% [5].