天味食品(603317)：Q2经营反弹 盈利能力修复

Core Insights - The company experienced a decline in revenue and net profit in the first half of 2025, with revenue at 1.39 billion yuan, down 5.24% year-on-year, and net profit at 190 million yuan, down 23.01% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company saw a revenue rebound to 749 million yuan, up 21.93% year-on-year, and net profit increased to 115 million yuan, up 62.72% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's revenue from the seasoning business was 1.38 billion yuan, up 20.52% year-on-year, with net profit at 240 million yuan, up 30.88% year-on-year [2] - The newly acquired subsidiary contributed 133 million yuan in revenue and 7 million yuan in net profit in H1 2025 [2] - The company added 234 distributors, bringing the total to 3,251 [2] Group 2: Revenue Breakdown - In H1 2025, offline and online revenues were 974 million yuan and 407 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -19.60% and 60.11% [2] - By product category, hot pot condiments and recipe-style condiments generated revenues of 428 million yuan and 896 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of -12.85% and 1.06% [2] - By region, revenues in the eastern, southern, western, northern, and central regions were 380 million yuan, 144 million yuan, 496 million yuan, 90 million yuan, and 270 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of 29.35%, -3.95%, -5.85%, -25.92%, and -27.46% [2] Group 3: Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin decreased by 0.86 percentage points to 38.70% in H1 2025, but Q2 saw an increase of 3.63 percentage points to 36.96% [4] - The net profit margin for H1 2025 decreased by 3.16 percentage points to 13.66%, while Q2 saw an increase of 3.86 percentage points to 15.39% [4] Group 4: Future Earnings Forecast - The company revised its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to 3.617 billion yuan, 3.889 billion yuan, and 4.165 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 4%, 8%, and 7% [5] - The projected net profits for the same period are 594 million yuan, 646 million yuan, and 702 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -5%, 9%, and 9% [5] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) are 0.56 yuan, 0.61 yuan, and 0.66 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 22.2x, 20.4x, and 18.8x [5]