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库存可控、现金稳健、服务增厚:经销商韧性的永达(03669)路径
YONGDA AUTOYONGDA AUTO(HK:03669) 智通财经网·2025-08-28 02:45

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese automotive market is experiencing intensified competition, ongoing price wars, and significant penetration of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in the first half of 2025, leading to a shift in focus from quantity to quality for dealers [1][9]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Domestic passenger car sales increased by 10.8% year-on-year to 10.902 million units in the first half of 2025, but the oversupply situation has intensified, with demand growth lagging behind capacity expansion [1]. - The average price of new cars decreased by 11.4% in the first half of the year, putting significant profit pressure on upstream suppliers, manufacturers, and dealers [1]. - The penetration rate of new energy vehicles reached 50.2%, with a monthly breakthrough of 53.3% in June, shifting the competitive focus from price wars to technology and service [1]. Group 2: Company Performance - The company achieved revenue of 27.072 billion yuan in the first half of the year, maintaining profitability after excluding asset impairment impacts [2]. - Inventory turnover days improved to 26.3 days, a reduction of 0.4 days year-on-year, effectively mitigating risks from new car price fluctuations [2]. - The net cash flow from operating activities increased by 66.9% year-on-year to 1.167 billion yuan, providing financial support for business adjustments [2]. Group 3: Operational Strategies - The company implemented proactive inventory control and dynamic adjustments, reducing the balance of in-transit and inventory to 4.986 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.8% from the end of 2024 [3]. - The company closed 19 stores in the first half of the year, focusing resources on more promising brands, while opening 7 new stores for leading NEV brands [3][5]. - The total number of operational outlets decreased to 209, with luxury brands accounting for 64.6% and independent NEV brands for 16.7% [4]. Group 4: New Energy and Aftermarket Growth - The company sold 10,312 units of independent NEV brands in the first half, a year-on-year increase of 49%, with direct sales mode growing by 123.1% [6]. - Aftermarket service revenue reached 4.784 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 40.35%, and the after-sales absorption rate improved to 84.2%, up 5.6 percentage points year-on-year [7][10]. - The company’s used car business saw a transaction volume of 30,427 units, achieving a gross margin of 5.21%, an increase of 0.81 percentage points [8]. Group 5: Sustainable Development Logic - The company's focus on "controlling inventory, stabilizing cash flow, and enhancing service" reflects a shift in dealer competition logic from scale to efficiency [9][11]. - The company’s after-sales business covers over 84.2% of fixed operating costs, allowing new car sales to contribute only a small portion of gross profit for overall profitability [10]. - The strategic combination of luxury and NEV brands positions the company to capture both short-term profits and long-term growth opportunities [10][11].