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小鹏汽车-W(09868.HK):销量结构改善 毛利率超预期
Ge Long Hui·2025-08-28 02:53

Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved sales of 197,000 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 278% [1] - Total revenue reached 34.09 billion yuan, up 133% year-on-year, while single-vehicle revenue was 159,000 yuan, down 33% [1] - The gross margin improved to 16.5%, an increase of 3.0 percentage points year-on-year, with a net loss of 1.14 billion yuan, a reduction in loss by 1.51 billion yuan year-on-year [1] Group 2: Sales and Product Strategy - In Q2 2025, the company sold 103,000 vehicles, representing a year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increase of 242% and 10%, respectively [1] - The MONA series' share of total sales decreased quarter-on-quarter, while the X9 and overseas sales proportions increased [1] - The company aims to deliver between 113,000 and 118,000 vehicles in Q3, indicating a new record, with expectations for improved gross margins and a potential return to profitability in a single quarter [1] Group 3: Strategic Partnerships and New Platforms - The company is expanding its range of electric and electronic architecture in collaboration with Volkswagen, enhancing technology service revenue and sustainability [2] - The introduction of the range-extended platform is expected to significantly increase sales across various models, marking a new growth point for the company [2] - The company plans to mass-produce robots and flying cars by 2026, which is a key area of focus [2] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its 2025 revenue forecast from 95.9 billion yuan to 81.4 billion yuan due to increased industry competition [3] - Revenue forecasts for 2026 and 2027 have been raised to 129.2 billion yuan and 166 billion yuan, respectively, driven by the range-extended platform's impact on sales [3] - The company maintains a "buy" rating with a target price-to-sales ratio of 1.6 for 2026, reflecting a potential upside of 26% from current levels [3]