Grandblue Environment (SH:600323) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-28 06:25Core Viewpoint - The company reported stable financial performance in Q2 2025, with revenue and net profit showing slight growth, and initiated a mid-year dividend, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns [1][3]. Financial Performance - Q2 2025 revenue reached 3.16 billion yuan, up 1.7% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 550 million yuan, up 8% year-on-year, aligning with previous forecasts [1]. - For the first half of 2025, total revenue was 5.76 billion yuan, down 1.1% year-on-year, and net profit was 970 million yuan, up 9% year-on-year [1]. - The company declared its first interim dividend of 0.25 yuan per share, with a payout ratio of 21% [1]. Business Segments Solid Waste Management - Net profit from solid waste management increased by 24.5%, primarily due to the consolidation of Yuefeng Environmental [1]. - Solid waste revenue for the first half of 2025 was 2.95 billion yuan, down 3% year-on-year, with Yuefeng Environmental contributing 360 million yuan [1]. - The company’s operational capacity for waste incineration reached 66,000 tons per day, with an 18% year-on-year increase in waste disposal volume and a 21% increase in power generation [1]. Energy and Water Services - Energy segment revenue increased by 0.7% year-on-year, driven by a slight rise in natural gas sales [2]. - Water supply revenue grew by 2.2% year-on-year, while sewage treatment volume increased by 2.9% [2]. - Operating cash flow rose by 30% year-on-year, reaching 1.2 billion yuan, with over 1.15 billion yuan in receivables collected during the period [2]. Future Outlook - The company aims to enhance shareholder returns, projecting a minimum 10% year-on-year increase in dividends per share from 2024 to 2026 [3]. - For 2024, the projected dividend per share is expected to increase by 67%, with a payout ratio of 40% [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Following the consolidation of Yuefeng Environmental, the company raised its net profit estimates for 2025 and 2026 by 16.6% and 20.3%, respectively, to 2.11 billion yuan and 2.34 billion yuan [4]. - The estimated dividend per share for 2025 and 2026 has been increased to 1 yuan and 1.1 yuan, respectively, with a target price raised by 20% to 31 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 19.8% from the current stock price [4].