国金证券：从数据、算力、模型切入的3类龙头 看全球AI制药全景图

Core Insights - The AI-driven pharmaceutical industry is on the verge of a breakthrough, with the first AI-developed drug expected to be approved soon, making it a focal point for investment opportunities [1][2] - The entry of both traditional pharmaceutical companies and new tech firms into the AI drug development space is creating a competitive landscape, emphasizing the importance of robust pipelines and proven capabilities [1][2] Timing - The application of AI in pharmaceuticals has transitioned from concept to reality, with multi-omics development expected to enhance efficiency by 1000 times, indicating a significant shift in the industry [2] - The timeline for AI's impact began with the Turing Test in 1950, gaining momentum with DeepMind's AlphaGo in 2016, and is expected to culminate in notable achievements like the Nobel Prize for breakthroughs in protein structure prediction by 2024 [2] - The EU's AI Act is set to eliminate AI drug discovery systems that rely on opaque models, ensuring that only verifiable and replicable AI models remain in the market [2] Essence - Cloud computing and data limitations are being overcome, leading to a resurgence in innovation and faster returns on research and development [3] - Major tech companies like Amazon, Google, and Microsoft provide ample cloud computing resources for pharmaceutical companies, enhancing their AI capabilities [3] - The shift from deep learning to federated learning is breaking down data silos, allowing for better model development and collaboration across organizations [3] - The development of generative AI models is crucial for maintaining competitive advantages, as efficiency in model iteration and training experience becomes increasingly important [3] Industry Dynamics - Tech giants are actively entering the AI pharmaceutical space, with significant investments and developments from companies like NVIDIA and Google [4] - Pharmaceutical companies are also ramping up their AI initiatives, with major players like Merck, Pfizer, and Eli Lilly investing hundreds of billions into AI-related ventures [4] - Recent data indicates that over $50 billion has been invested in AI drug development projects in the last five years, highlighting the growing importance of AI in the pharmaceutical industry [4]