Core Viewpoint - Daiwa's report indicates a gradual recovery for China Civil Aviation Information Network (00696), expressing optimism about its system integration business, but anticipates a slow recovery for international airlines. Revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been lowered by 4% to 5% due to slower-than-expected tourism recovery. Earnings per share estimates for 2025 to 2027 have been reduced by 16% to 17% reflecting underperformance in the first half of 2025. The "Buy" rating is maintained, with the target price adjusted from HKD 13.5 to HKD 13 [1] Revenue and Earnings Forecast - Revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been reduced by 4% to 5% due to slower tourism recovery [1] - Earnings per share estimates for 2025 to 2027 have been lowered by 16% to 17% reflecting disappointing performance in the first half of 2025 [1] Business Performance and Cost Management - The management noted that several changes in the post-pandemic period have impacted recent profitability, including low processing volumes from international airlines, which previously had higher average prices and profit margins compared to domestic airlines [1] - System integration business contributes approximately 20% to revenue (down from double-digit figures pre-pandemic) [1] - Employee costs are projected to exceed RMB 2 billion for 2023 to 2024, compared to an average of RMB 1.8 billion from 2017 to 2019 [1] Operational Leverage and Cost Control - Despite the revenue forecast adjustments, the company retains significant operational leverage potential, as fixed costs account for 60% to 70% of total operating costs [1] - Daiwa emphasizes that management has intensified cost control efforts, particularly regarding employee costs, to enhance profitability [1]
大和：降中国民航信息网络目标价至13港元 复苏呈渐进 重申“买入”评级