NORINCO International(SZ:000065) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-28 08:33Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to weak coking coal prices and trade volumes, but maintains a positive outlook on its transformation and future profitability potential [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's revenue was 6.7 billion yuan, down 35% year-over-year (yoy), with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 310 million yuan, down 43% yoy [1]. - For Q2 2025, revenue, net profit, and net profit excluding non-recurring items were 3.1 billion yuan, 130 million yuan, and 130 million yuan, respectively, reflecting yoy declines of 43%, 52%, and 51% [1]. Revenue Breakdown - The company's coking coal sales volume in H1 2025 was 2.22 million tons, compared to 3.16 million tons in H1 2024, indicating a significant decrease [2]. - Revenue from engineering, resource equipment supply chain, and power operations in H1 2025 decreased by 25%, 51%, and increased by 55% to 3.1 billion yuan, 2.66 billion yuan, and 330 million yuan, respectively [2]. - The increase in power operations revenue is attributed to better performance from the Croatia wind power project, with generation volumes increasing by 21% yoy [2]. Profitability Metrics - The company's overall gross margin improved by 3.1 percentage points to 13.1% in H1 2025, with specific margins for engineering, resource equipment supply chain, and power operations at 17.4%, 0.7%, and 70.5%, respectively [3]. - The increase in gross margin is linked to changes in revenue structure and improved profitability of certain projects, such as the Croatia wind power project [3]. - However, the net profit margin decreased by 0.6 percentage points to 4.6% in H1 2025 due to rising fixed costs and reduced foreign exchange contributions [3]. Future Outlook - The company expects revenues of 20.8 billion yuan, 22.7 billion yuan, and 24.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a consistent growth rate of 9% yoy [4]. - Net profits are projected to be 1.2 billion yuan, 1.3 billion yuan, and 1.41 billion yuan for the same years, reflecting growth rates of 14%, 9%, and 8% yoy [4]. - The company is advancing its integrated investment and operation model, with key projects in Mongolia and Croatia serving as benchmarks for its transformation [4]. - Recent improvements in coking coal prices since H2 2025 may provide better profit elasticity, supporting a "buy" rating with a projected PE of 10x for 2025 [4].