Core Viewpoint - The company reported steady revenue growth in H1 2025, driven by recovering downstream demand and potential for continued expansion in eco-friendly packaging [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 7.10% growth, net profit growth of 11.42%, and a non-recurring net profit growth of 7.11%, totaling 7.876 billion, 554 million, and 560 million yuan respectively [1]. - For Q2 2025, revenue increased by 7.71%, net profit by 12.34%, and non-recurring net profit by 12.09%, reaching 4.177 billion, 313 million, and 313 million yuan respectively [1]. - The company’s gross margin and net margin for H1 2025 were 22.77% and 6.80%, showing a year-on-year decrease of 0.82 and 0.06 percentage points [3]. - The gross margins for paper packaging products were 24.09%, 22.31%, and 20.38% respectively, with year-on-year changes of -0.11, +0.48, and -1.20 percentage points [3]. Business Analysis - The company’s revenue from paper packaging, supporting products, and eco-friendly paper-plastic products in H1 2025 was 5.461 billion, 1.297 billion, and 584 million yuan, with year-on-year changes of +5.39%, -6.70%, and +6.77% respectively [2]. - The gradual recovery of downstream demand, particularly in the home appliance and liquor sectors, has laid a solid foundation for stable revenue growth [2]. - The company is experiencing a temporary slowdown in eco-friendly packaging growth due to external factors, but expects continued expansion as production capacity is relocated overseas [2]. Strategic Initiatives - The company launched a new equity incentive plan worth 2.08 billion yuan, with targets for net profit growth of 10%, 20%, and 30% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 compared to 2024, reflecting confidence in long-term development [4]. - The company has seen a continuous decline in capital expenditures since 2021, supporting a high dividend payout ratio, which has remained above 60% since 2023 [4]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts EPS of 1.86, 2.12, and 2.43 yuan for 2025-2027, with current stock prices corresponding to PE ratios of 13, 12, and 10 times [5]. - The company is expected to benefit from improved overseas profit margins and the ongoing development of new domestic demands, indicating a clear growth path ahead [4].
裕同科技(002831):Q2业绩延续稳健增长 股权激励抬升后续发展确定性