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乔锋智能(301603):业绩超预期 穿越周期高成长

Core Viewpoint - The company has experienced rapid growth in performance, exceeding expectations in the first half of 2025, with significant increases in revenue and net profit [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.21 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 50%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 180 million yuan, up 56% year-on-year [1] - For Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 740 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 67% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 54% [1] - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 30%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.4 percentage points [1] Group 2: Product Development and Market Competitiveness - The company has significantly increased its product variety compared to 2024, launching new products in various categories, including vertical machining centers and gantry machining centers [2] - New products include the high-speed drilling and tapping machine T-5F, five-axis vertical machining center VHU-650, and lightweight general-purpose vertical machining center VDM-255, targeting sectors such as 3C electronics and aerospace [2] Group 3: Industry Opportunities and Capacity Expansion - The company is capitalizing on the improving industry landscape, with sales in CNC machine tools growing rapidly due to the development of sectors like consumer electronics and new energy vehicles [3] - New production bases in Dongguan and Nanjing are gradually coming online, significantly enhancing production capacity and delivery efficiency [3] - Investments in key sectors such as new energy vehicles and aerospace are beginning to yield benefits, particularly in high-margin industries [3] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 2.55 billion, 3.04 billion, and 3.51 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 45%, 19%, and 15% respectively [4] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 340 million, 450 million, and 550 million yuan, with compound annual growth rates of 26% over three years [4]