沪铜行情回落 社会库存低位回升【8月28日SHFE市场收盘评论】

Core Viewpoint - The copper market is experiencing weak fluctuations, with a closing drop of 0.53%, as expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in September have been largely priced in [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - The LME copper inventory has seen limited accumulation recently, while domestic refined copper social inventory has increased but remains at a relatively low level [1] - The current processing fee for domestic copper concentrate is still low, indicating a continued tight supply situation, although the smelting sector is performing adequately [1] Group 2: Inventory and Demand - As of August 28, the domestic market's electrolytic copper inventory stands at 127,900 tons, an increase of 7,900 tons compared to August 25 [1] - There has been an increase in imported copper arrivals during the week, but downstream purchasing demand is relatively weak as the month-end approaches, leading to stable warehouse outflow and a rise in inventory [1] - Due to the low price difference between refined and scrap copper, the substitution of refined copper for scrap copper has increased, contributing to the overall low level of domestic refined copper social inventory [1]