民生证券：给予旭升集团买入评级

Core Viewpoint - The report indicates that Xusheng Group's performance in Q2 2025 met expectations, driven by globalization and new business initiatives, leading to a "buy" rating for the company [1] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.096 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.47%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 201 million yuan, down 24.22% year-on-year [2] - Q2 2025 revenue reached 1.050 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.89% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.29% [2] - The net profit for Q2 2025 was 105 million yuan, a decrease of 2.41% year-on-year but an increase of 9.77% quarter-on-quarter [2] - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 22.75%, up 1.10 percentage points year-on-year and 1.95 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] Business Expansion - The company's Mexico factory commenced operations in June 2025, enhancing its overseas growth engine and securing important customer orders through OTS sample deliveries [3] - A new facility in Thailand began construction in July 2025, aimed at serving the rapidly growing Southeast Asian electric vehicle and high-end manufacturing markets [3] - The company has developed core components for energy storage systems, achieving approximately 300 million yuan in revenue in H1 2025, marking significant growth [3] Investment Outlook - The company is positioned as a strong beneficiary in the lightweighting sector for electric vehicles, with projected revenues of 5.47 billion yuan, 6.72 billion yuan, and 8.21 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] - Expected net profits for the same years are 500 million yuan, 610 million yuan, and 770 million yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.52 yuan, 0.64 yuan, and 0.81 yuan [4] - The stock is projected to have a PE ratio of 28, 22, and 18 times for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, maintaining a "recommended" rating [4]