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旭升集团(603305):25Q2业绩符合预期 全球化+新业务共振

Core Insights - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with revenue at 2.096 billion yuan, down 2.47% year-on-year, and net profit at 201 million yuan, down 24.22% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company experienced a revenue increase of 3.89% year-on-year, reaching 1.05 billion yuan, despite a decline in global deliveries from major client Tesla [2] - The company has initiated production at its Mexico facility and is expanding its operations in Thailand, aiming to enhance its international growth and customer base [3] Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company's net profit was 201 million yuan, a decrease of 24.22% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit was 177 million yuan, down 25.65% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the gross margin improved to 22.75%, up 1.10 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 9.98%, down 0.66 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company’s expenses showed normal fluctuations, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios varying slightly compared to previous periods [2] Strategic Developments - The Mexico facility began operations in June 2025, focusing on localizing supply for lightweight products and enhancing production capacity through automation [3] - The company is also developing new business lines in energy storage and robotics, achieving approximately 300 million yuan in revenue from energy storage components in H1 2025, marking significant growth [3] - The company is advancing its magnesium alloy technology and has initiated collaborations for magnesium alloy electric drive housing projects with international clients [3] Investment Outlook - The company is positioned as a strong beneficiary in the lightweight sector of the new energy vehicle market, with projected revenues of 5.47 billion yuan, 6.72 billion yuan, and 8.21 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [4] - Expected net profits for the same period are forecasted at 500 million yuan, 610 million yuan, and 770 million yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.52, 0.64, and 0.81 yuan [4] - The company maintains a "recommended" rating based on its market share acquisition capabilities and technological advancements [4]