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债市大调整!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-28 15:15

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that the bond futures market is experiencing a significant decline, influenced by a shift of funds from the bond market to the stock market due to a V-shaped rebound in A-shares and rising inflation expectations driven by domestic policies [1][2][3] - As of August 28, the 30-year main contract fell by 0.72%, the 10-year main contract fell by 0.19%, and the yields on major government bonds increased, with the 10-year government bond yield rising by 2.15 basis points to 1.7865% [1][2] - The bond market adjustment shows that short-term bonds have smaller declines while long-term and ultra-long-term bonds experience larger drops, indicating a close correlation between long bonds and the stock market [3] Group 2 - Analysts suggest that the current bond market adjustment is primarily driven by sentiment and changes in fund flows rather than a deterioration in the fundamentals, with a steepening yield curve indicating concerns over long-term inflation and fiscal pressures [3] - In the context of a strong stock market, the bond market is expected to remain weak in the short term, with potential for repeated bottom testing [3] - Investment strategies recommended include cautious observation for conservative investors, while aggressive investors may consider small positions for bottom-fishing, and combining bond investments with stock market strategies to hedge against potential downturns [4]