造纸行业仍然承压

Core Insights - The paper industry in A-shares is under pressure, with only 4 out of 16 listed companies reporting positive net profit growth in the first half of 2025, highlighting the cyclical nature of the industry [1] - Shandong Sun Paper Industry Co., Ltd. leads the industry with a revenue of 19.113 billion and a net profit of 1.78 billion [1] - The industry is experiencing structural adjustments in capacity expansion, cost optimization, and export growth, but still faces supply-demand pressures and profit differentiation [1] Company Strategies - Sun Paper is implementing a differentiated strategy across raw materials, processes, and products, focusing on self-manufactured pulp to reduce fiber costs and improve production efficiency [1] - The company has achieved cost reductions in energy, raw materials, and maintenance during the reporting period, ensuring stable operational performance [1] - Mudanjiang Hengfeng Paper Co., Ltd. reports steady growth in core business profitability due to lean management practices, optimizing supply chain management, and controlling procurement costs [1] Industry Challenges - The paper industry faces significant cost pressures primarily from raw materials and energy, with uncertainties in their price trends impacting overall industry costs [2] - The financial attributes and price volatility of pulp used in cultural paper, along with rising costs of waste paper for packaging due to weather factors, contribute to these challenges [2] - The "anti-involution" policy is expected to accelerate structural adjustments in the industry, with a shift towards high-end and differentiated production necessary for overcoming current market challenges [2] Future Outlook - Sun Paper's "integrated forestry, pulp, and paper" strategy is set to advance with the completion of its Nanning base projects, enhancing operational synergy [2] - The packaging paper market is anticipated to see a slowdown in capacity expansion by 2025, with a need for transformation towards high-end products [2] - The industry is expected to achieve supply-demand balance through market mechanisms, with a potential turning point for paper prices by 2026 as the "anti-involution" policy continues [2]