JIN LEI(SZ:300443) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-29 00:48Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for 1H25, with revenue and net profit significantly exceeding market expectations, driven by improvements in the casting business and increased sales in wind power products [1][2]. Financial Performance - For 1H25, the company achieved revenue of 1.283 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 79.85%, and a net profit of 179 million yuan, up 176.89% year-on-year [1]. - In 2Q25, revenue reached 778 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 69.97% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 54.16%. The net profit for this quarter was 126 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 205.07% and a quarter-on-quarter rise of 136.49% [1]. - The casting business turned profitable in 1H25, with significant contributions from wind power shaft products, which generated 870 million yuan in revenue, a substantial increase of 93.6% year-on-year, and a gross margin of 24.79% [1]. Business Segments - The company’s forging shaft business also saw considerable revenue growth, aligning with industry trends. In 2Q25, wind casting shaft shipments reached approximately 27,000 tons, the highest quarterly shipment since the business's inception, contributing to a net profit of 19 million yuan for the subsidiary Shandong Jinlei Heavy Industry [1]. - Other precision shaft businesses generated 182 million yuan in revenue in 1H25, reflecting an 11.6% year-on-year increase, with a gross margin of 34.2% [1]. - The assembly business, which was previously established, reported revenue of 137 million yuan in 1H25, with a gross margin of 8.4% [1]. Development Trends - The wind power casting business is expected to benefit from the global increase in offshore wind energy, with anticipated production growth in 2025. The business achieved profitability in 2Q25, and further growth is expected due to domestic and international market demand [2]. - Other precision shaft businesses are projected to maintain rapid growth as the company continues to expand its downstream market presence [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has raised its 2025 profit forecast by 5.5% to 430 million yuan due to better-than-expected profitability in the wind power casting segment. The 2026 profit forecast remains unchanged [3]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.8 for 2025 and 16.6 for 2026. The target price has been increased by 16.0% to 29.53 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 5.8% from the current stock price [3].