丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨金雷股份（300443.SZ） [Table_Title] 金雷股份：Q3 经营业绩延续景气，产能建设积 极推进 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2025 年三季报，前三季度实现营业收入 21 亿元，同比增长 61%，归母净利润约 3 亿 元，同比增长 105%；单季度看，公司 Q3 实现营业收入 8 亿元，同比增长 39%，归母净利润 约 1.2 亿元，同比增长 57%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 邬博华 曹海花 司鸿历 周圣钧 SAC：S0490514040001 SAC：S0490522030001 SAC：S0490520080002 SAC：S0490524120003 SFC：BQK482 SFC：BVD284 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% [Table_scodeMsg2] 金雷股份（300443.SZ） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 金雷股份：Q32] 经营业绩延续景气，产能建设积 极推进 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司 ...

Core Insights - The report from Guosen Securities indicates that the domestic wind power installation is expected to maintain a growth rate of 10%-20% in 2026, supported by saturated orders and stable prices [1][2] - The profitability of wind turbine manufacturers is improving quarterly, with export growth boosting performance, reflecting a synchronized recovery in both domestic and international markets [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of overseas expansion and AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) as key focus areas for 2026, with major domestic power equipment companies making breakthroughs in overseas markets and innovative products [1] Wind Power Sector - The wind turbine sector is experiencing a recovery in profitability, with significant growth in offshore wind installations and tenders, leading to increased orders and performance for related companies [2] - Key companies to watch in the wind power sector include Goldwind Technology, Sany Renewable Energy, Times New Materials, Daikin Heavy Industries, Oriental Cable, and Haile Wind Power [2] Lithium Battery Industry - The lithium battery supply chain is expected to see a reversal in the downward price trend, with significant recovery in profitability anticipated for most products in 2026 [2] - New technologies such as steel-shell batteries, silicon anodes, and large energy storage cells are expected to achieve mass supply in 2026, while solid-state battery technology is accelerating towards industrialization [2] - Recommended companies in the lithium battery sector include CATL, EVE Energy, Zhongchuang Innovation, Zhuhai Guanyu, Tianci Materials, Enjie, Dingsheng Technology, and Xiamen Tungsten [2] Energy Storage Market - The electrification transition is driving explosive growth in the global energy storage market, with domestic market demand leading to a surge in storage orders [3] - The demand for large-scale energy storage in the U.S. is increasing due to power supply shortages, while unstable grid conditions in Europe are also boosting storage needs [3] - Companies to focus on in the energy storage sector include CATL, EVE Energy, Sungrow Power, and Deye [3] Photovoltaic Sector - The photovoltaic supply side is undergoing adjustments, with new technologies such as silver-free materials and perovskite layers gaining attention [3] - The profitability of silicon materials is expected to recover, with silver-free products nearing mass production by 2026 [3] - Key companies in the photovoltaic sector include GCL-Poly Energy, Xinte Energy, Tongwei Co., and Juhua Materials [3] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on new technology investment opportunities, such as solid-state batteries and flexible converters [3] - Emphasis is placed on overseas expansion and performance improvement for leading companies in lithium batteries and wind turbine components [3] - Long-term beneficiaries in green electricity alternatives include secondary distribution equipment and charging pile operations [3]

Core Viewpoint - Jinlei Co., Ltd. experienced a decline of 1.35% in stock price on November 20, with a trading volume of 138 million yuan, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment and market dynamics [1] Financing Summary - On November 20, Jinlei Co., Ltd. had a financing buy-in amount of 14.177 million yuan and a financing repayment of 18.3135 million yuan, resulting in a net financing outflow of 4.1365 million yuan [1] - The total financing and securities balance for Jinlei Co., Ltd. reached 409 million yuan, with the financing balance accounting for 4.97% of the circulating market value, indicating a high level compared to the past year [1] - The company had a securities lending repayment of 2,100 shares and a securities lending sell-out of 900 shares, with a sell-out amount of 23,100 yuan, and a securities lending balance of 1.0312 million yuan, also reflecting a high level compared to the past year [1] Business Performance - As of September 30, Jinlei Co., Ltd. reported a total revenue of 2.119 billion yuan for the first nine months of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 61.35% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period was 305 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 104.59% [2] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Jinlei Co., Ltd. was 27,900, a decrease of 7.27% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 7.84% to 8,701 shares [2] - Cumulatively, Jinlei Co., Ltd. has distributed 506 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 210 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3] - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited ranked as the third-largest shareholder with 4.2502 million shares, an increase of 1.0937 million shares from the previous period [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6] Core Views - The company has shown significant revenue growth, with a 61.3% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 2.119 billion [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the same period increased by 104.6% year-on-year, amounting to 305 million [6] - The report highlights the strong demand for wind power components, particularly the growth in sales of forged and cast shafts, contributing to improved profitability [6] - The company is expected to benefit from increased production capacity and demand in the offshore wind sector, with projections for net profit to reach 431 million in 2025, representing a 149% year-on-year increase [4][6] Financial Summary - Total shares outstanding: 320.13 million [2] - Market price: 26.08 yuan, with a market capitalization of 8,349.11 million [2] - Revenue projections for 2023A to 2027E show a growth trajectory from 1,946 million to 4,349 million [4] - The company anticipates a significant increase in effective production capacity for cast products, expected to reach 130,000 to 150,000 tons by 2026 [6] - The report includes a detailed earnings forecast, with net profits projected at 4.3 billion, 6.4 billion, and 7.3 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][8]

Core Viewpoint - Jinlei Co., Ltd. has experienced a stock price increase of 33.27% year-to-date, but has seen a decline of 7.81% in the last five trading days, indicating volatility in its stock performance [2]. Company Overview - Jinlei Co., Ltd. is located in Jinan, Shandong Province, established on March 24, 2006, and listed on April 22, 2015. The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of wind turbine main shafts and various large castings and forgings [2]. - The main revenue composition includes: wind power shafts (forged and cast) 67.80%, other precision shafts 14.19%, assembly business 10.71%, and others 7.30% [2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Jinlei Co., Ltd. achieved operating revenue of 2.119 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 61.35%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 305 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 104.59% [2]. - Since its A-share listing, Jinlei Co., Ltd. has distributed a total of 506 million yuan in dividends, with 210 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Jinlei Co., Ltd. was 27,900, a decrease of 7.27% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person increased by 7.84% to 8,701 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the third-largest shareholder with 4.2502 million shares, an increase of 1.0937 million shares from the previous period. The Southern CSI 1000 ETF is a new entrant in the top ten, holding 2.0467 million shares [3].

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the performance of the Zhongzheng 1000 Enhanced ETF (561590), which opened at 1.327 yuan and experienced a slight decline of 0.23% [1] - The major holdings of the ETF include stocks such as Jucheng Co., which fell by 0.90%, and Jingwei Hengrun, which dropped by 1.05%, while Daikin Heavy Industries saw an increase of 0.87% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the Zhongzheng 1000 Index return, managed by Huatai-PB Fund Management Co., with a return of 33.02% since its establishment on November 23, 2022, and a 2.02% return over the past month [1]

Core Viewpoint - On November 17, a total of 13 target price adjustments were made by brokerages for listed companies, with notable increases in target prices for Kangguan Technology, Kede CNC, and Honglu Steel Structure, showing target price increases of 44.60%, 43.03%, and 37.73% respectively, across the optical optoelectronics, general equipment, and professional engineering industries [1][3]. Group 1: Target Price Increases - Kangguan Technology received a target price of 32.00 yuan with a target price increase of 44.60% [3] - Kede CNC was assigned a target price of 86.95 yuan, reflecting a 43.03% increase [3] - Honglu Steel Structure has a target price of 24.42 yuan, indicating a 37.73% increase [3] - Other companies with significant target price increases include Zhongxin International with a target price of 159.30 yuan (35.42% increase) and Sinopec with a target price of 7.60 yuan (31.49% increase) [3] Group 2: Brokerage Recommendations - A total of 51 listed companies received brokerage recommendations on November 17, with Aotewei and Kede CNC each receiving 2 recommendations [4][5] - Aotewei's closing price was 42.55 yuan, while Kede CNC's closing price was 60.79 yuan [5] Group 3: Rating Adjustments - On November 17, brokerages raised ratings for 2 companies, including Sinopec's rating upgraded from "Hold" to "Buy" by Huatai Securities, and Hongyuan Electronics' rating upgraded from "Hold" to "Buy" by CITIC Securities [4] - One company, Honglu Steel Structure, had its rating downgraded from "Strong Buy" to "Recommended" by Huachuang Securities [4] Group 4: First Coverage - On November 17, brokerages initiated coverage on 7 companies, including Wan Energy Power with an "Accumulate" rating from China Merchants Securities, and Hengyin Technology with an "Accumulate" rating from Zhongyou Securities [7][8] - Other companies receiving first coverage include Jinlei Co. with a "Buy" rating, Zhaoyan Pharmaceutical with an "Accumulate" rating, and Weisheng Information with a "Recommended" rating [8]

Core Insights - On November 17, 2023, brokerage firms provided target prices for listed companies, with notable increases for Kangguan Technology, Kede CNC, and Honglu Steel Structure, showing target price increases of 44.60%, 43.03%, and 37.73% respectively [1][3] Group 1: Target Price Increases - Kangguan Technology received a target price of 32.00 yuan, reflecting a 44.60% increase [3] - Kede CNC's target price is set at 86.95 yuan, indicating a 43.03% increase [3] - Honglu Steel Structure has a target price of 24.42 yuan, with a 37.73% increase [3] Group 2: Brokerage Recommendations - A total of 51 listed companies received brokerage recommendations on November 17, with Aotewei and Kede CNC each receiving 2 recommendations [4][5] - Aotewei's closing price was 42.55 yuan, while Kede CNC's closing price was 60.79 yuan [5] Group 3: Rating Adjustments - Two companies had their ratings upgraded on November 17, including China Petroleum, which was upgraded from "Hold" to "Buy" by Huatai Securities, and Hongyuan Electronics, upgraded from "Hold" to "Buy" by CITIC Securities [4] - One company, Honglu Steel Structure, had its rating downgraded from "Strong Buy" to "Recommended" by Huachuang Securities [4] Group 4: First Coverage - Seven companies received initial coverage on November 17, including Waneng Power with an "Accumulate" rating from China Merchants Securities, and Hengyin Technology with an "Accumulate" rating from Zhongyou Securities [7][8] - Other companies receiving first coverage include Jinlei Co., Ltd. with a "Buy" rating, Zhaoyan Pharmaceutical with an "Accumulate" rating, and Weisheng Information with a "Recommended" rating [7][8]

Market Overview - The wind power equipment sector experienced a decline of 0.66% on November 14, with Delijia leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3990.49, down 0.97%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13216.03, down 1.93% [1] Stock Performance - Changyou Technology (301557) saw a significant increase of 7.78%, closing at 110.80 with a trading volume of 16,700 lots and a transaction value of 182 million [1] - Pangu Intelligent (301456) rose by 4.20%, closing at 31.50 with a trading volume of 74,300 lots and a transaction value of 229 million [1] - Other notable performers included Hongde Co. (301163) with a 1.30% increase and Zhonghuan Hailu (301040) with a 0.84% increase [1] Declining Stocks - Delijia (603092) led the decline with a drop of 4.92%, closing at 62.48 with a trading volume of 73,200 lots and a transaction value of 46.4 million [2] - Other stocks that declined included Weili Transmission (300904) down 2.36% and Mingyang Smart Energy (601615) down 2.03% [2] Capital Flow - The wind power equipment sector saw a net outflow of 157 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 36.27 million [2] - The sector's capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors pulling back while retail investors showed some interest [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Hewei Electric (603063) had a net inflow of 89.62 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 72.91 million from retail investors [3] - Pangu Intelligent (301456) experienced a net inflow of 14.43 million from institutional investors, while retail investors showed a net outflow of 1.33 million [3] - Overall, the capital flow data reflects varying levels of investor confidence across different stocks within the sector [3]

Core Insights - The wind power equipment sector experienced a rise of 1.17% on November 13, with Hewei Electric leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4029.5, up 0.73%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13476.52, up 1.78% [1] Stock Performance - Hewei Electric (603063) closed at 32.17, with a gain of 5.23% and a trading volume of 466,200 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 1.484 billion [1] - Changyou Technology (301557) closed at 102.80, up 4.44%, with a trading volume of 11,000 shares [1] - Jixin Technology (601218) closed at 5.99, gaining 2.74% with a trading volume of 1,334,800 shares [1] - Goldwind Technology (002202) closed at 15.35, up 2.47%, with a trading volume of 898,400 shares [1] - Other notable stocks include Tiensun Wind Power (002531) and Daqian Heavy Industry (002487), with respective gains of 1.50% and 1.39% [1] Capital Flow - The wind power equipment sector saw a net outflow of 66.1885 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 249 million [2] - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors withdrawing funds while retail investors increased their positions [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Hewei Electric experienced a net inflow of 18.7 million from institutional investors but saw a net outflow of 112 million from speculative funds [3] - Daqian Heavy Industry had a net inflow of 57.5975 million from institutional investors, while speculative funds saw a net outflow of 41.7643 million [3] - Jixin Technology had a net inflow of 21.1361 million from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 39.1975 million from speculative funds [3]