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欣旺达(300207):消费电池盈利稳步提升 动储亏损有望收窄

Core Insights - The company's Q2 performance met expectations, with H1 revenue of 26.99 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, and a net profit of 860 million yuan, up 3.9% [1] - The company is experiencing an increase in self-supply rate for consumer battery cells, leading to improved profitability [1] - The company anticipates a significant increase in the demand for battery cells due to AI advancements, with expected profits from consumer batteries in 2025 projected to exceed 2.5 billion yuan, a growth of 10-20% [1] Financial Performance - In Q2, the company reported revenue of 14.7 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.5% and a year-on-year increase of 19.6%, with a net profit of 470 million yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 7.1% [1] - The gross margin for Q2 was 14.9%, down 1.8 percentage points from the previous year [1] - The company’s H1 operating cash flow decreased by 39.8% to 1.04 billion yuan, with Q2 showing a negative cash flow of 490 million yuan [3] Product Segments - The energy storage battery segment saw a significant increase in shipments, with H1 shipments reaching 16.1 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 93% [2] - The revenue from energy storage batteries in H1 was 7.6 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 9.8%, down 1.9 percentage points [2] - The company expects to improve profitability in the energy storage segment in the second half of the year due to better product structure and new customer growth [2] Investment Outlook - The company maintains its profit forecast for 2025-2027, projecting net profits of 2.05 billion, 2.5 billion, and 3 billion yuan, representing growth rates of 40%, 22%, and 21% respectively [3] - The company is positioned as a leader in the consumer battery market, maintaining a "buy" rating based on its market position and growth potential [3]