ZMNY(SH:600163) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-29 06:26Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 314 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.07% [1] - In Q2 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 63 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 51.11% [1] - The company's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 794 million yuan, down 2.95% year-on-year; Q2 revenue was 280 million yuan, a decrease of 20.58% [1] - The gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 57.51%, a decrease of 1.15 percentage points year-on-year; Q2 gross margin was 37.98%, down 14.78 percentage points year-on-year [1] Operational Data - Total power generation in the first half of 2025 was 1.405 billion kWh, a year-on-year decrease of 0.89%; grid-connected power was 1.366 billion kWh, down 0.71% [2] - Power generation by type included: Fujian wind power (1.284 billion kWh, +2.60%), Heilongjiang wind power (0.088 billion kWh, -28.91%), Heilongjiang biomass (0.024 billion kWh, -14.99%), and Xinjiang Hami photovoltaic (0.010 billion kWh, -34.95%) [2] - The utilization hours for Fujian onshore wind farms were 1,356 hours, and for offshore wind farms, 2,037 hours, both above the national average of 1,087 hours [2] - As of June 30, 2025, the company had a controllable grid-connected installed capacity of 957,300 kW, with onshore wind, offshore wind, photovoltaic, and biomass capacities of 611,300 kW, 296,000 kW, 20,000 kW, and 30,000 kW respectively [2] Future Outlook - The company is focusing on the distribution of offshore wind projects and the realization of asset injections [3] - In 2025, there is potential for new offshore wind allocations in Fujian, which could significantly support the company's future growth [3] - The company plans to initiate asset injection procedures for the Haidian Phase III project within three months after the renewable energy subsidy audit results are confirmed [3] - The government has identified "deep-sea technology" as a key area for strategic emerging industries, indicating potential policy support for offshore wind development [3] - The offshore wind sector has significant growth potential, with only 41 GW of installed capacity as of 2024, representing just 1.2% of total capacity [3] Investment Recommendations - The company has strong regional advantages and good wind resource conditions, indicating broad future growth potential [4] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 700 million, 740 million, and 830 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.37, 0.39, and 0.43 yuan [4] - The company is assigned a target market value of 13.9 billion yuan based on a 20x PE ratio for 2025, with a target price of 7.3 yuan, representing a 39% upside from the current price [4]