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伊利股份(600887):业绩修复兑现 改善趋势明确

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue growth but a decline in net profit, while showing strong growth in non-recurring net profit [1][4]. Financial Performance - For H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 61.777 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.49%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.39%. The non-recurring net profit was 7.016 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.78% [1]. - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 28.838 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, with net profit of 2.326 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 44.65%, and non-recurring net profit of 2.387 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49.48% [1]. Product Performance - The liquid milk segment generated revenue of 16.485 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.85%, indicating ongoing pressure in the ambient milk market, although the decline was less severe due to a low base from the previous year. Conversely, the low-temperature liquid milk segment saw growth, with the "Changqing" brand achieving double-digit growth and low-temperature white milk increasing over 20% year-on-year [2]. - Revenue from milk powder and dairy products was 7.765 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.65%, driven by a recovery in the infant formula market and strengthened competitiveness. The ice cream segment generated revenue of 4.124 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 37.96%, benefiting from higher summer temperatures and increased consumer spending [2]. Operational Efficiency - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 34.19%, an increase of 0.61 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to cost advantages and a higher proportion of high-margin products like milk powder. The overall expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial costs improved, with a notable decrease in advertising and marketing expenses [3]. - The company experienced a reduction in credit impairment losses and asset impairment losses, contributing to a net profit margin of 7.94%, an increase of 2 percentage points year-on-year. The non-recurring net profit margin improved to 8.28%, up 2.41 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Future Outlook - For H2 2025, the company expects steady revenue growth driven by healthy inventory levels in ambient milk, innovative low-temperature products, and a recovery in infant formula demand. The cold drink segment is also anticipated to continue its strong performance due to a low base from the previous year [4]. - The company is positioned for improved profitability as it enters Q3, with expectations of stabilizing milk prices and reduced impairment pressures, indicating a clear trend of profit improvement [4].