Core Viewpoint - Bain Capital, the major shareholder of Canada Goose, is considering selling its stake and has received a verbal offer from Hillhouse Capital, while also discussing with Advent International, both valuing Canada Goose at approximately $1.35 billion [1][5] Group 1: Potential Buyers - The interested buyers can be categorized into two types: strategic investors like Bosideng and Anta Group, and financial investors like Hillhouse Capital and Advent International [3][4] - Anta Group and Bosideng have publicly denied their interest in acquiring Canada Goose, with Anta stating it is "not a potential acquirer" and Bosideng claiming the reports are inaccurate [2][9] Group 2: Canada Goose's Financial Performance - Canada Goose has transitioned from a North American wholesale clothing company to a global high-end brand under Bain Capital's leadership, with revenue growth from CAD 591 million in FY2018 to CAD 1.348 billion in FY2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 12.5% [5][6] - Despite revenue growth, Canada Goose has experienced a slowdown in growth and uneven performance, primarily relying on the Asia-Pacific market, while North America and EMEA markets lack stable growth [6][7] Group 3: Valuation and Market Position - As of August 26, Canada Goose's market capitalization was $1.18 billion, significantly lower than its peak of over $7.8 billion, with the reported valuation of $1.35 billion representing a premium of approximately 14.4% [7][8] - The valuation multiples for high-end down jackets and luxury apparel typically range from 7 to 12 times EV or EBITDA, with Canada Goose currently at around 8 times, which is considered reasonable given market uncertainties [7][8] Group 4: Strategic vs. Financial Investors - Financial investors focus on short to medium-term financial performance and aim to enhance valuation through supply chain optimization and brand management, while strategic investors consider long-term growth and synergies with their existing brands [4][5] - Given Canada Goose's current market pressures and profitability challenges, strategic investors may be better suited for driving the next phase of growth, particularly in expanding into the Chinese and Asian markets [7][8] Group 5: Other Potential Buyers - The likelihood of Bosideng and Anta Group acquiring Canada Goose is low due to their lack of interest and existing strategic focuses [9][10] - Few Chinese apparel groups have the capacity to acquire Canada Goose, and the overall luxury market is facing headwinds, leading to cautious behavior from financially capable companies [10][11] Group 6: Financial Investors' Interest - Hillhouse Capital and Advent International may still have interest in Canada Goose, with Hillhouse focusing on the Chinese market and having experience in consumer retail investments [11][12] - Advent International has a strong track record in investing in high-end fashion and beauty brands, favoring those in rapid growth phases [12]
加拿大鹅的买家是谁?
Hu Xiu·2025-08-29 12:13