Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that oil prices are unlikely to see significant upward momentum this year due to increased domestic production and the threat of U.S. tariffs suppressing demand growth [1][2] - A Reuters survey of 31 economists and analysts predicts that the average price of Brent crude oil will be $67.65 per barrel in 2025, which is similar to the July forecast of $67.84 [1] - WTI crude oil is expected to average $64.65 per barrel, slightly up from the previous estimate of $64.61 [1] Group 2 - OPEC+ has agreed to increase oil production by 547,000 barrels per day in September, with expectations that they may continue to raise output [2] - Analysts suggest that the focus on market share over higher oil prices could lead to significant oversupply in the oil market in 2025 and 2026, which would depress prices [2] - The geopolitical risks, particularly related to the U.S. and Russia, are expected to provide some support for oil prices despite the anticipated oversupply [2][3] Group 3 - Global oil demand is projected to grow by 500,000 to 1.1 million barrels per day by 2025, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasting a growth of 680,000 barrels per day [2] - OPEC has raised its forecast for global oil demand growth for next year while lowering estimates for supply growth from the U.S. and other non-OPEC+ producers [2]
供应过剩+需求疲软,油价恐正迎来一场“完美风暴”!
Jin Shi Shu Ju·2025-08-29 12:30