山西焦煤(000983)：煤价下跌致业绩承压 中报分红回馈股东

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to falling coal prices impacting its coal and coke business, while the power and heat business showed improvement in profitability [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 18.05 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.01 billion yuan, down 48.4% year-on-year [1]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 9.03 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.02% quarter-on-quarter, and a net profit of 0.33 billion yuan, down 51.2% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Business Segment Analysis - Coal Business: In H1 2025, the coal business generated operating revenue of 10.39 billion yuan, a decrease of 13.5% year-on-year, with a gross profit of 4.94 billion yuan, down 24.2% year-on-year. The gross margin for this segment was 47.6%, a decline of 6.7 percentage points [2]. - Power and Heat Business: This segment achieved operating revenue of 3.15 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.2% year-on-year, but saw a significant increase in gross profit to 0.27 billion yuan, up 930.1% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 8.4%, an increase of 7.7 percentage points [2]. - Coke Business: The coke business reported a gross profit of 3.12 billion yuan, down 34.8% year-on-year, with a gross margin of -1.6%, a decline of 2.2 percentage points, primarily due to falling coke prices [2]. Dividend Distribution - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.36 yuan per share (before tax) to all shareholders, totaling approximately 204.38 million yuan, which represents 20.16% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025 [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to the decline in coal prices, the company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2026 and introduced a forecast for 2027, expecting net profits of 1.86 billion yuan, 2.11 billion yuan, and 2.38 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year changes of -40.04%, +13.30%, and +12.65% [4]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for these years are projected to be 0.33 yuan, 0.37 yuan, and 0.42 yuan, corresponding to price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 21.66, 19.12, and 16.97 [4].