Core Insights - Jack Ma's prediction about future housing prices being as low as "scallions" has proven to be accurate as the real estate market has entered a downward trend since the second half of 2021 [1][3] Group 1: Housing Market Trends - The domestic housing market has been in a decline since the second half of 2021, with cities like Zhengzhou and Shijiazhuang experiencing price drops first, followed by major cities like Shanghai and Shenzhen [3] - By July, the average price of second-hand homes in 100 cities fell by 0.77% month-on-month and 7.32% year-on-year, indicating a continuous expansion of the decline [3] - The average national housing price has dropped over 30% from its historical peak in 2021, with specific examples like a property in Shanghai that decreased from 4 million to 2.56 million [5] Group 2: Market Signals - There has been a significant increase in the number of second-hand homes listed for sale, with Beijing reaching 163,300 listings, Shanghai surpassing 330,000, and other cities like Wuhan and Chongqing also showing high numbers [7] - The willingness of the general public to buy homes is decreasing, as evidenced by a reduction in bank deposits by 1.11 trillion yuan in July 2025, with funds being redirected to stock markets and other investments rather than real estate [9] - Among the 25-30 age group, the willingness to purchase homes has dropped to 48%, down from 65% in 2020, with many young people opting for a "rent and invest" strategy instead [11]
马云预言应验了?2026年的房价,已经出现4个信号!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-29 13:34