Naruida(SH:688522) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-08-29 17:33Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the valuation and performance forecast of Guangdong Narui Radar Technology Co., Ltd. in relation to its asset acquisition and fundraising application submitted to the Shanghai Stock Exchange, highlighting the methodologies used for valuation and the rationale behind them [1]. Valuation of Target Company: Methods and Rationale - The transaction is based on a valuation date of December 31, 2024, utilizing both income and market approaches, with the income approach yielding a valuation of 370.60 million yuan and an appreciation rate of 421.40% [2]. - Comparable companies were selected based on various criteria, including listing time, industry category, and company size, with Zhongying Electronics, Sitaiwei-W, and Chipone Micro selected as comparables [2]. - The valuation appreciation rate is within a reasonable range compared to comparable transactions, and the static price-earnings ratio is deemed reasonable after excluding the effects of share payments and capital reduction interest [2]. Income Approach Valuation: Performance Forecast and Rationale - For the forecast period (2025-2029), the company's revenue is projected to grow from 144.86 million yuan to 242.36 million yuan, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 14.58% [3]. - Revenue growth is supported by demand in various sectors, including optical sensing chips benefiting from office upgrades and gaming needs, and MCU chips driven by domestic substitution and downstream demand [3]. - The gross profit margin is expected to be higher during the forecast period due to changes in product structure and cost reductions, with operating expenses decreasing due to scale effects [3]. Market Approach Valuation: Comparable Companies and Value Ratios - The selection criteria for comparable companies and transactions are deemed reasonable, despite some comparables not meeting all standards [4]. - The price-to-sales ratio was chosen as the value ratio due to its relevance in the integrated circuit design industry, where market value is less correlated with profitability [4]. - The liquidity discount rate was set at 30.60%, which is lower than the market average, indicating a cautious and reasonable approach [4]. Share Payments and Goodwill: Treatment and Analysis - The net profit commitment of the target company excludes share payment expenses, aligning with comparable transaction cases, and the assessment of share payment expenses is consistent with performance commitments [5]. - Following the transaction, goodwill will increase by 252.53 million yuan, representing 8.71%, 10.50%, and 309.85% of the total assets, net assets, and net profit of the listed company as of the end of 2024, respectively [5]. - The goodwill amount is calculated based on enterprise merger standards, with the target company's business recognized as a single asset group, and the valuation of intangible assets is deemed reasonable [5].