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深圳燃气2025年中报简析:增收不增利,应收账款上升

Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen Gas (601139) reported mixed financial results for the first half of 2025, with revenue growth but a decline in net profit, indicating potential challenges in profitability and cash flow management [1][3]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 15.432 billion yuan, an increase of 11.99% year-on-year [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 638 million yuan, down 13.61% compared to the previous year [1]. - In Q2 2025, total revenue was 7.919 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.47%, while net profit for the quarter was 405 million yuan, a decrease of 12.5% [1]. Key Financial Metrics - Gross margin decreased to 13.85%, down 16.46% year-on-year [1]. - Net margin fell to 4.54%, a decline of 23.79% compared to the previous year [1]. - Total operating expenses (sales, management, and financial expenses) amounted to 1.107 billion yuan, accounting for 7.17% of revenue, a decrease of 12.78% year-on-year [1]. - Earnings per share (EPS) dropped to 0.22 yuan, down 15.38% year-on-year [1]. Balance Sheet Highlights - Cash and cash equivalents increased to 5.197 billion yuan, up 15.83% year-on-year [1]. - Accounts receivable rose significantly by 32.4% to 4.478 billion yuan [1]. - Interest-bearing debt surged by 77.55% to 14.439 billion yuan [1]. - The company's net asset per share increased to 5.39 yuan, a rise of 6.26% year-on-year [1]. Business Evaluation - The company's Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) for the previous year was 5.26%, indicating average capital returns [3]. - The historical median ROIC over the past decade stands at 8.09%, suggesting a generally average investment return [3]. - The business model relies heavily on capital expenditure and marketing, necessitating careful evaluation of capital projects and spending [3]. Cash Flow and Debt Analysis - The cash flow situation is concerning, with a cash to current liabilities ratio of only 40.41% [3]. - The interest-bearing debt ratio has reached 30.85%, indicating potential financial strain [3]. - Accounts receivable to profit ratio is alarmingly high at 307.34%, raising concerns about collection efficiency [3]. Analyst Expectations - Analysts project that the company's performance for 2025 will yield a net profit of approximately 1.485 billion yuan, with an average EPS forecast of 0.52 yuan [3].