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农夫山泉(9633.HK):25H1业绩表现亮眼 盈利能力同比改善
Ge Long Hui·2025-08-30 03:20

Core Viewpoint - Nongfu Spring reported strong financial performance for H1 2025, with revenue of 25.622 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.6%, and a net profit of 7.622 billion yuan, up 22.1% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Bottled water revenue reached 9.443 billion yuan, growing 10.7% year-on-year, supported by improved public sentiment and increased domestic tourism [2] - Ready-to-drink tea revenue was 10.089 billion yuan, showing a 19.7% increase despite a high base last year, driven by the brand's strong market position and promotional activities [2] - Functional beverage revenue was 2.898 billion yuan, up 13.6%, attributed to enhanced brand visibility [2] - Juice beverage revenue reached 2.564 billion yuan, increasing 21.3% due to new product launches and strong supply chain capabilities [2] - Other products generated 629 million yuan, a 14.8% increase, benefiting from health trends and customized products [2] Profitability and Cost Management - Gross margin improved to 60.3%, up 1.5 percentage points, due to lower raw material costs and increased revenue scale [2] - Selling expense ratio decreased to 19.6%, down 2.8 percentage points, primarily due to reduced advertising and promotional spending [2] - Net profit margin reached 29.7%, an increase of 1.6 percentage points, reflecting improved gross margin and lower selling expenses [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is enhancing consumer awareness of natural water and expanding market share through new channels and products [3] - In H1 2025, the company launched new products and marketing campaigns, contributing to strong performance in the ready-to-drink tea segment [4] - The company is entering the Hong Kong market with core products, marking the beginning of its globalization efforts [4] Future Outlook - The company expects overall revenue growth to remain in double digits for 2025, supported by cost advantages and product structure optimization [4] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been revised upward, with projected net profits of 14.838 billion, 16.919 billion, and 18.933 billion yuan respectively [4] - Current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 35x, 31x, and 27x for 2025-2027 [4] Market Position - Nongfu Spring is recognized as a leading player in the beverage industry, with strong advantages in natural drinking water and sugar-free tea segments [5]