CR MIXC LIFESTYLE(1209.HK)：MISS DUE TO DECLINE IN INTEREST INCOME

Core Viewpoint - CR Mixc's 1H25 revenue increased by 6.5% YoY to RMB8.5 billion, aligning with estimates, despite declines in developer VAS and community VAS revenues [1] - The company demonstrated strong performance in the commercial segment, with gross margin expansion and significant growth in gross profit [1][2] Financial Performance - Core net profit rose by 15% YoY to RMB2 billion, slightly below the estimated 17.7% growth [2] - Interim DPS surged by 89.6% to RMB0.529, with a special dividend of RMB0.352/share, resulting in a payout ratio of 100% of interim core earnings [2] - Gross profit grew by 16.3% YoY, exceeding estimates, despite a 66.5% YoY decline in interest income [1] Segment Performance - The commercial segment saw shopping mall revenue increase by 30% YoY in 1H25, with retail sales growing by 21.1% YoY and SSSG at 9.7% [3] - Retail sales in luxury malls grew by 13.2% YoY, while non-luxury malls increased by 26.4% YoY [3] - The number of malls in operation increased to 125, with 6 new malls obtained through third-party expansion [3] Property Management Expansion - CR Mixc added 14.32 million sqm of contracted area in 1H25, with 71.2% being public projects [4] - Total contracted GFA increased from 450.5 million sqm at the end of 2024 to 452.1 million sqm, while total GFA under management rose from 413.1 million sqm to 420.5 million sqm [4] Valuation and Market Position - The target price is set at HK$42.91, derived from a 23x 2025E P/E, with the stock currently trading at 20.1x 2025E P/E [5] - The company offers a 4.7% 2025E dividend yield, reflecting its competitive position in the commercial segment and industry-leading gross margin [5]