Ge Long Hui·2025-08-30 03:47Core Viewpoint - The company's 1H25 performance aligns with expectations, showing a decline in revenue but an increase in net profit, indicating effective cost management and operational efficiency [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company reported revenue of 4.126 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 23.14%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 837 million yuan, up 19.93% year-on-year, meeting expectations [1]. - For Q2 2025, revenue was 2.276 billion yuan, down 32.17% year-on-year, but net profit increased by 24.2% to 381 million yuan [1]. Revenue Trends - Toll revenue slightly declined, with a total of 2.274 billion yuan in 1H25, down 2.25% year-on-year. Key toll roads like Chengle and Chengyu saw revenue increases of 0.92% and 0.52%, respectively, while Chengya and Chengren experienced declines of 2.33% and 7.21% due to new road openings and competition from railways [1]. - The company managed to reduce financial expenses by 31.0% and management expenses by 14.8%, contributing positively to profit margins [1]. Growth Prospects - The company is investing in core assets, with the Chengle Expressway expansion nearing completion and the Chengya Expressway already awarded an expansion project, which is expected to enhance toll rates and extend toll collection periods post-completion [2]. - The acquisition of Chengdu Erxinan is projected to contribute 160 million yuan in profit for 2025, along with an expected cumulative compensation of 31.48 million yuan from 2023 to 2024, indicating significant profit growth potential [2]. Shareholder Returns - The company emphasizes shareholder returns, with a commitment to a dividend payout ratio of no less than 60% from 2023 to 2025, a notable increase from previous levels [2]. - The projected dividend yield for 2024 is 5.2%, positioning the company among the leaders in the highway industry, with potential yields of 5.5% and 5.8% for 2025 and 2026, respectively [2]. Valuation and Forecast - The company maintains its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with current A-share prices reflecting a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.9 and 10.4 for those years, and H-share prices at 8.6 and 8.1 [2]. - The target price for A-shares is set at 6.85 yuan, suggesting a 21.9% upside potential, while the target price for H-shares is 5.61 HKD, indicating a 16.4% upside [2].