Ge Long Hui·2025-08-30 03:52Core Viewpoint - The company maintains a "buy" rating, projecting a target price of HKD 3.63 based on a 11.5x PE for 2025, supported by expected integration of hydropower assets and a current dividend yield of over 5% [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of CNY 23.9 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 10% - The profit attributable to equity holders was CNY 2.83 billion, up 1.2% year-on-year, while the profit attributable to ordinary shareholders was CNY 2.59 billion, an increase of 0.65% year-on-year [1] Segment Analysis - Thermal Power: Net profit of CNY 1.43 billion, an increase of CNY 320 million year-on-year, with a profit per kWh of CNY 0.058, up CNY 0.019. The coal power price decreased by CNY 0.019 to CNY 0.373, while fuel costs dropped by CNY 0.039 to CNY 0.235 (corresponding to a decrease of approximately CNY 118 per ton of standard coal) [1] - Hydropower: Net profit of CNY 550 million, down CNY 220 million year-on-year, with a profit per kWh of CNY 0.067, down CNY 0.005, primarily due to a decrease in utilization hours by 434 to 1387 hours [1] - Wind Power: Net profit of CNY 2.12 billion, an increase of CNY 160 million year-on-year, with a profit per kWh of CNY 0.127, down CNY 0.022. The electricity price decreased by CNY 0.036 to CNY 0.411, while utilization hours increased by 56 to 1122 hours [1] - Photovoltaics: Net profit of CNY 720 million, down CNY 420 million year-on-year, with a profit per kWh of CNY 0.055, down CNY 0.041. The electricity price decreased by CNY 0.024 to CNY 0.377, and utilization hours decreased by 73 to 665 hours [1] Future Projections - For 2025, the company expects thermal power net profit to reach CNY 2.03 billion, a year-on-year increase of CNY 500 million, assuming a coal price decrease of CNY 100 per ton and a maintained electricity price drop of 2 cents - Combined net profits from hydropower, wind power, and photovoltaics are projected to be CNY 5.2 billion, a decrease of CNY 200 million year-on-year, with expected utilization hours adjusted accordingly [2]