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中远海运国际(00517.HK):业绩超预期 主业受益于船周期上行 高派息率构筑护城河

Core Viewpoint - 中远海运国际's H1 2025 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue of HKD 1.93 billion, a 10% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of HKD 490 million, up 26% [1][2]. Group 1: Coating Business - The company's coating business saw significant growth, with revenue of HKD 820 million in H1 2025, a 38% increase year-on-year, and a segment profit of HKD 200 million, up 20% [1]. - Container coating sales surged by 94% year-on-year to 29,000 tons, driven by factors such as container rerouting and port congestion [1]. - The joint venture with Jotun contributed HKD 170 million in investment income, a 21% increase, with ship coatings sales rising by 19% to 70 million liters [1]. Group 2: Ship Trading Agency Business - The ship trading agency business generated revenue of HKD 100 million in H1 2025, a 97% increase year-on-year, with segment profit rising by 124% to HKD 80 million [2]. - The growth was attributed to an increase in new ship deliveries and the acquisition of new clients, leading to higher commission income [2]. Group 3: Other Businesses - The insurance business remained stable, with revenue of HKD 120 million, a 7% increase, and a profit of HKD 80 million, up 11% [2]. - Revenue from marine equipment declined by 3% to HKD 890 million, with a segment profit decrease of 5% to HKD 50 million [2]. Group 4: Strategic Initiatives and Financial Position - The company is strategically positioning itself in the green methanol sector, forming a joint venture to produce 200,000 tons of methanol annually, expected to commence production in 2026 [2]. - As of mid-2025, the company had cash and cash equivalents of HKD 5.1 billion, with a planned interim dividend of HKD 0.33 per share, maintaining a high payout ratio of around 100% over the past five years [2]. Group 5: Earnings Forecast and Rating - Due to the strong performance in the coating and ship trading businesses, the profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been raised, with expected net profits of HKD 830 million, HKD 870 million, and HKD 910 million respectively [3]. - The company maintains a "buy" rating with a projected PE ratio of 11 for 2025 and 10 for 2027 [3].