Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to a sharp drop in the selling price of premium coking coal, despite an increase in coal production [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 2.1 billion HKD in 1H25, a year-on-year decrease of 17%, mainly impacted by a 45% drop in the selling price of premium coking coal [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 404 million HKD, down 51.7% year-on-year, aligning with the performance warning issued on August 8 [1]. - The company declared a dividend of 0.06 HKD per share, down from 0.09 HKD in 1H24, with the payout ratio increasing to 76% from 53% year-on-year [1]. Production and Cost Management - The company reported a recovery in raw coking coal production, reaching 2.64 million tons (+17.3% year-on-year) and premium coking coal production at 1.54 million tons (+19.4% year-on-year) [2]. - The increase in production was attributed to a return to average production levels from 2021-2023, following a temporary suspension last year [2]. - The company improved its washing technology, achieving a premium coal washing yield of approximately 58.3%, up 1 percentage point from 1H24 [2]. - The production cost of raw coal was 328 RMB per ton, a decrease of 27.6% year-on-year, driven by lower resource taxes, reduced depreciation, and cost-cutting measures [3]. Outlook and Valuation - For the second half of 2025, while resource taxes are expected to rise with coking coal prices, the company anticipates maintaining cost control, projecting an 8.2% year-on-year decrease in production costs [3]. - The company maintains its net profit estimates for 2025-2027 at 1.05 billion, 1.19 billion, and 1.19 billion HKD, respectively, and continues to use a Dividend Discount Model (DDM) for valuation [3]. - The target price remains at 3.4 HKD, with a "buy" rating upheld due to stable dividend expectations and high payout ratios [3].
首钢资源(0639.HK)：优质资产+高效运营 红利价值凸显