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知乎-W(02390.HK):业务调整初见成效 AI+社区生态深化
Ge Long Hui·2025-08-30 04:01

Core Insights - The company reported better-than-expected adjusted net profit of 91.34 million yuan for Q2 2025, despite a revenue decline of 23% year-on-year to 717 million yuan, which was slightly below the expected 730 million yuan [1][2] - The company is seeing initial success from business adjustments, particularly in marketing services and paid membership, with expectations for a turning point in upcoming quarters [1][2] Revenue and Profit Trends - Q2 2025 revenue from marketing services decreased by 35% year-on-year, but the company is optimistic about future improvements in the advertising structure [1] - Paid membership revenue fell by 7% year-on-year, but the average revenue per paying user (ARPPU) is expected to grow by 3% [1] - The company is shifting its focus towards acquiring long-lifecycle users and enhancing user engagement through new content formats [1] AI Integration and Community Value - The company upgraded its core AI product, Zhihu Zhidao, enhancing its knowledge base functionality, which has led to a significant increase in active usage penetration [2] - The presence of 365,000 professional creators in discussions related to technology and AI highlights the growing value of the company's content community [2] - The company’s quality content is becoming a valuable data asset, with AI assistants citing Zhihu more frequently than other content communities [2] Financial Performance and Share Buyback - The company achieved adjusted profitability for three consecutive quarters, with a decrease in operating expense ratio by 4 percentage points year-on-year [2] - In the first half of 2025, the company repurchased 7.42 million shares, representing about 3% of the total share capital [2] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down by 8.2% and 9.9% to 2.82 billion yuan and 2.97 billion yuan, respectively, due to ongoing adjustments in marketing services and vocational training [2] - Adjusted net profit for 2025 has been revised from a loss of 72.86 million yuan to a profit of 31.80 million yuan, while the 2026 adjusted net profit forecast has been reduced from 140 million yuan to 77.07 million yuan [2] - The current stock price corresponds to 1.0 times the price-to-sales ratio for 2025/2026, with a target price of 16 HKD/6.1 USD, indicating an upside potential of 25%/24% [2]