Workflow
深圳国际(00152.HK):1H25业绩符合预期 股息率具备吸引力

Core Viewpoint - The company's 1H25 performance met expectations, with a slight revenue increase but a significant decline in net profit due to last year's one-time tax benefits from a REIT issuance [1] Financial Performance - 1H25 revenue reached HKD 6.67 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.9% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 490 million, down 24.9% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [1] - Revenue from toll roads and environmental protection stabilized, while logistics and port businesses faced challenges [1] Business Segments - Toll Roads and Environmental Protection: - Toll road revenue was HKD 2.64 billion, roughly flat year-on-year, with a 4% increase after excluding one-off impacts [1] - Environmental protection revenue rose 2% to HKD 810 million, achieving a net profit of HKD 95.32 million [1] - Logistics Park and Services: - Logistics park revenue increased 5% to HKD 790 million, but net profit attributable to shareholders fell 90% to HKD 55.91 million due to high base effects from last year's REIT issuance [1] - Logistics services revenue surged 47% to HKD 200 million, with a loss of HKD 47.98 million attributed to structural adjustments and rising operational costs [1] - Ports: - Port revenue decreased 13% to HKD 1.39 billion, with net profit down 72% to HKD 12.04 million due to market demand slowdown and increased depreciation costs from new projects [1] Future Outlook - The logistics park's transformation is expected to contribute positively to performance, with projected tax-adjusted gains of HKD 2.367 billion from the first phase of the South China logistics park [2] - The company aims to enhance asset value through public REIT expansions and private fund issuances [2] - The dividend policy remains stable, with an average payout ratio of 51% over the past five years, leading to an attractive dividend yield of 9.7% for 2025/2026 [2] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast for 2025 and 2026 remains unchanged, with the current stock price reflecting a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.1 times for both years [2] - The target price is set at HKD 9.38, indicating a potential upside of 23.8% from the current stock price [2]