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德林国际(01126.HK):毛绒玩具提速明显 看好东南亚产能扩张

Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 2.578 billion HKD in H1 2025, representing a growth of 12.39% year-on-year, with a net profit of 307 million HKD, up 10.10% [1][3] Financial Performance - Revenue growth was driven by a 51.4% contribution from plush toys, which generated 1.324 billion HKD, and a 14.2% increase in plastic model sales, totaling 1.069 billion HKD [1] - The overall SG&A expenses decreased by 3.73% to 211 million HKD, with an SG&A expense ratio of 8.20%, down 1.37 percentage points [1] - The company reported a gross margin of 20.08%, down 3.91 percentage points, and a net margin of 11.91%, slightly down by 0.25 percentage points [1] Regional Performance - Revenue from Hong Kong increased by 19.8% to 173 million HKD, while North America saw a 7.2% growth to 1.047 billion HKD [2] - Japan experienced a significant revenue increase of 30.3% to 702 million HKD, while mainland China saw a slight decline of 0.2% to 509 million HKD [2] - European revenue grew by 27.6% to 80 million HKD, and other regions contributed 67 million HKD, up 9.1% [2] Capacity Expansion - The company operates 28 factories, with a capacity utilization rate of 84.7%, and plans to add one factory each in Vietnam and Indonesia by the second half of 2025 [3] - The new factory in Indonesia is expected to provide cost advantages and enhance delivery capabilities for orders in Japan and the US [3] - The company aims to leverage its scale and design capabilities to maintain growth in revenue and profits [3] Investment Outlook - The company is expected to maintain steady growth in performance, with projected revenues of 6.230 billion HKD, 6.522 billion HKD, and 6.829 billion HKD for 2025-2027 [3] - Corresponding net profits are forecasted at 788 million HKD, 861 million HKD, and 944 million HKD for the same period [3] - The current PE ratios are estimated at 12.00, 10.99, and 10.01 for the respective years [3]