Ge Long Hui·2025-08-30 04:13Core Viewpoint - Company reported 1H25 results that met market expectations, with a revenue increase of 19.9% year-on-year to 94.92 billion yuan, and a core net profit decline of 6.6% to 10 billion yuan [1][2] Financial Performance - Revenue from regular business grew by 2.5% and core net profit by 9.6%, with regular business contributing 60.2% to core net profit, an increase of 8.9 percentage points year-on-year [1] - The company declared an interim dividend of 0.20 yuan per share, maintaining a dividend yield of 14.3% [1] - Development sales decreased by 11.5% to 110.3 billion yuan, while settlement revenue increased by 25.8% to 74.4 billion yuan, with a settlement gross margin improvement of 3.2 percentage points to 15.6% [2] - The company maintained a net debt ratio of 39.2%, which is still low in the industry, and the cash short-term debt ratio is 2.0 [2] Strategic Development - The company plans to issue REITs worth 30-50 billion yuan over the next 3-5 years, with an average annual disposal of 5-10 billion yuan, which is expected to enhance cash flow and balance sheet resilience [2] - The company acquired land with a cost of 44.7 billion yuan, a 75% increase year-on-year, focusing on core cities and locations [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The core net profit forecast for 2025 is expected to decline by 4% to 24.45 billion yuan, while the 2026 forecast is raised by 5% to 25.62 billion yuan [3] - The target price is adjusted upward by 13% to 37 HKD, corresponding to 0.8 times the 2025 target P/B ratio, indicating a 22% upside potential [3]