杭州银行(600926)：质效双优 资本夯实

Core Viewpoint - Hangzhou Bank released its 25H1 semi-annual report, showing revenue, PPOP, and net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 3.9%, 4.7%, and 16.7% year-on-year, with changes from 25Q1 being +1.7pct, +1.7pct, and -0.6pct respectively [1] Highlights - Credit scale steadily expanded, with interest-earning assets and loans growing by 12.7% and 12.0% year-on-year, maintaining double-digit growth. Corporate loans provided the main increment, while retail loan scale continued to shrink. Corporate loans increased by 17.5% year-on-year, with infrastructure, manufacturing, and leasing services contributing significantly [2] - Non-interest income maintained double-digit growth, with net fee income increasing by 10.8% year-on-year, benefiting from increases in custody, wealth management, and domestic letter of credit settlement fees. The bank actively promoted wealth management business, with the scale of Hangzhou Bank's wealth management products exceeding 510 billion yuan, a 17% increase from the end of the previous year [2] - Asset quality remained excellent, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.76%, unchanged from the end of 25Q1, and a provision coverage ratio of 521%, down 9.18pct from 25Q1. The estimated non-performing loan net generation rate for 25H1 was 0.66%, a slight increase of 3bp year-on-year [3] - Successful conversion of convertible bonds strengthened capital, with the core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio at 9.74% at the end of 25Q2, an increase of 0.73pct from 25Q1. This was mainly due to the successful redemption of convertible bonds and an increase in other comprehensive income [3] Concerns - Net interest margin narrowed to 1.35%, down 6bp from 24A, with asset yield and liability cost rates decreasing by 48bp and 34bp respectively. As deposits become more liquid and high-interest deposits mature, it is expected that the cost of liabilities will improve, supporting the net interest margin [3] - Investment income may be affected by market fluctuations, with investment income and fair value changes accounting for 32% of total profit in 25H1. Given increased volatility in the bond market, attention should be paid to the impact of bond market investments on performance [3] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company is expected to achieve net profit growth rates of 14.9% and 12.8% for 25 and 26 years, with EPS of 2.60 and 2.94 yuan per share respectively. The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 6.11X and 5.39X for 25 and 26 years, and PB ratios of 0.83X and 0.74X respectively. Considering the historical PB valuation center and fundamental conditions, a reasonable value of 18.93 yuan per share is suggested, maintaining a "buy" rating [4]