XIAOMI(HK:01810) Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang·2025-08-31 00:00Core Insights - China has become the world's largest mobile phone producer and consumer, with a projected smartphone production of 1.25 billion units in 2024, maintaining over 70% of total mobile phone production for several years [1][4] - The smartphone industry is now in a mature phase, with a continuous decline in shipment volumes observed in recent years. The expected smartphone shipment for 2024 is 294 million units, a year-on-year increase of 6.5%, accounting for 63% of total mobile phone shipments [1][6] - The rapid pace of product updates has shortened the average usage cycle of smartphones, leading to increased market demand for replacements. AI smartphones are emerging as a key innovation direction [1][11] Industry Overview - The smartphone industry is defined as mobile devices with independent operating systems that allow users to install third-party applications and access wireless networks [2] - The industry has evolved from personal digital assistants (PDAs) to smartphones, which have become essential in daily life, driven by the growth of mobile internet [4] Current Market Situation - In 2024, the total mobile phone production in China is expected to reach 1.67 billion units, with a year-on-year growth of 7.26%. The smartphone production is projected at 1.25 billion units, consistently representing over 70% of total production [4] - The smartphone shipment volume in 2023 was 276 million units, with a 4.8% year-on-year increase, while the 2024 projection is 294 million units, reflecting a 6.5% growth [6] Industry Chain - The smartphone industry chain includes upstream components such as chips, PCBs, memory, operating systems, displays, power supplies, and cameras. The midstream involves manufacturing (ODM, OEM/EMS, brand owners), while the downstream includes operators, service providers, and end-users [6] Competitive Landscape - The Chinese smartphone market is characterized by high concentration and significant competition among domestic brands. In 2024, domestic brands are expected to ship 269 million units, a 16.3% increase, capturing 85.6% of the market [9] - Major players include Vivo, Huawei, Apple, Honor, and OPPO, with Vivo leading the market share at 17.2% and Huawei regaining its position among the top five brands [9] Future Trends - The smartphone market in China is expected to see a shift in consumer demand due to the early release of national subsidy policies, increasing the number of new models and enhancing consumer choices [10] - The competition for young consumers is intensifying, with brands increasing marketing investments and focusing on AI innovations [11]