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晋控煤业(601001):销售量价双承压 Q2销量环比改善

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.965 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 19.16%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 876 million yuan, down 39.01% [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.541 billion yuan, a decline of 4.83% year-on-year, with a net profit of 364 million yuan, down 44.55% [1] - The decline in sales was primarily due to falling coal prices, which affected customer fulfillment rates [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The company's raw coal production for H1 2025 was 17.22 million tons, an increase of 1.7% year-on-year, while the sales volume of commercial coal was 13.29 million tons, down 8.0% [1] - In Q2 2025, coal production increased to 9.36 million tons, up 10.4% year-on-year, and sales volume rose to 8.03 million tons, up 7.1% [1] - The average selling price of coal was 422 yuan per ton, a decrease of 14.8% year-on-year, with Q2 pricing at 419 yuan per ton, down 13.0% [1] Cost Management - The company's operating costs for H1 2025 were 3.72 billion yuan, a decrease of 8.42% year-on-year [1] - The sales expense ratio increased to 1.2%, up 0.54 percentage points year-on-year, likely due to lower customer fulfillment rates from falling coal prices [1] - The management expense ratio was 2.98%, down 0.26 percentage points year-on-year, indicating efforts to control costs [1] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue asset injections, with a focus on meeting conditions for coal mine asset integration into the listed company [2] - The acquisition of the Panjiayao mine, with a production capacity of 10 million tons per year, is anticipated to contribute significantly to profit growth [2] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 1.6 billion, 2.05 billion, and 2.14 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.96, 1.23, and 1.28 yuan [2]