Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue and net profit showing significant year-on-year growth, driven by the success of cream products and the restaurant channel [1][4]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.07 billion yuan, up 16.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 171 million yuan, up 26.24% year-on-year [1]. - For Q2 2025, revenue reached 1.02 billion yuan, reflecting an 18.4% year-on-year increase, while net profit was 82 million yuan, marking a 40.84% year-on-year growth [1][2]. Product Performance - In H1 2025, frozen baked goods generated revenue of 1.13 billion yuan, a 6.08% increase year-on-year, while baking ingredients saw revenue growth of over 30% [1]. - The cream and sauce product lines experienced nearly 40% growth in Q2 2025, driven by the UHT cream series [2]. Channel Performance - In H1 2025, revenue distribution by channel was approximately 50% from bakery, 30% from supermarkets, and 20% from restaurants, with restaurant revenue growing by about 40% year-on-year [2]. - The restaurant channel showed a significant acceleration in growth, nearly 70% year-on-year in Q2 2025, due to increased orders from core clients and new customer acquisitions [2]. Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross margin for H1 2025 was 30.4%, with a slight decline due to changes in channel and product mix, as well as rising raw material costs [3]. - The net profit margin improved to 8.0% in Q2 2025, reflecting effective cost management and a shift towards lower-cost direct sales channels [3]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued revenue growth in the second half of 2025, particularly in the bakery channel, supported by new product launches and seasonal demand [4]. - The company has locked in most raw material prices to manage cost pressures, while ongoing efficiency improvements are expected to enhance profitability [4]. Investment Recommendation - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 4.42 billion, 5.06 billion, and 5.73 billion yuan, with corresponding net profits of 350 million, 430 million, and 510 million yuan, indicating strong growth potential [4].
立高食品(300973):奶油保持高增、餐饮新客进展顺利 Q2盈利延续改善