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南山铝业(600219):国内外氧化铝价格回落 业绩表现符合市场预期

Core Viewpoint - The company reported its 2025 H1 financial results, showing revenue of 17.274 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.25%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.625 billion yuan, up 19.95% year-on-year, indicating strong performance in a challenging market environment [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's H1 2025 revenue reached 17.274 billion yuan, reflecting a 10.25% increase compared to the previous year [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for H1 2025 was 2.625 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.95% [1]. - The non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.611 billion yuan, marking a 21.04% increase year-on-year [1]. Group 2: Market Conditions - Domestic alumina prices experienced a phase of adjustment, with an average price of approximately 3,495 yuan per ton in H1 2025, up about 3% from the same period last year [1]. - The overseas alumina market faced downward pressure due to new production capacity coming online, leading to a supply surplus and a significant price drop [2]. - The average price of overseas alumina in H1 2025 was around 436 USD per ton, which is an 8% increase year-on-year [2]. Group 3: Aluminum Price Trends - The average price of primary aluminum in H1 2025 was approximately 20,288 yuan per ton, reflecting a 3% increase compared to the previous year [3]. - Aluminum prices showed volatility due to various factors, including changes in global trade policies and downstream demand recovery [2][3]. Group 4: Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of 0.36, 0.40, and 0.45 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 11, 10, and 9 times [3].