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恒玄科技(688608):25Q2毛利率环比提升 打造无线SOC平台型龙头

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with a significant increase in R&D expenses, indicating a commitment to high-end product development despite short-term profit pressures [1][2][4]. Revenue Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.6% [1]. - For Q2 2025, revenue was 940 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.5% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 5.1% [1]. - The decline in Q2 revenue is attributed to the significant pull-in effect from national subsidies in Q1 and supply chain adjustments causing shipment delays [1]. Profitability Analysis - The gross margin for Q2 2025 reached 40.1%, an increase of 6.7 percentage points year-on-year and 1.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1]. - Net profit for Q2 2025 was 110 million yuan, down 4.8% year-on-year and down 40.0% quarter-on-quarter, indicating profit pressure despite improved gross margins [1][2]. - R&D expenses in Q2 2025 amounted to 230 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 36.5%, with an R&D expense ratio of 24.2% [2]. Product Development and Market Expansion - The new generation smart wearable chip, BES2800, is widely applied in TWS headphones, smartwatches, and smart glasses, enhancing the company's technological leadership [2]. - The company successfully onboarded new clients in the smartwatch market, with rapid growth in chip shipments for smartwatches in H1 2025 [3]. - The company is expanding its chip applications into low-power wireless scenarios, including smart glasses and wireless microphones, indicating a shift towards becoming a platform chip company [3]. Future Outlook and Investment Recommendations - Despite a slowdown in revenue growth and profit pressures due to high R&D investments, the company's high-end strategy is establishing a competitive advantage across multiple sectors [4]. - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 4.59 billion, 6.01 billion, and 7.50 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 40.5%, 31.1%, and 24.7% respectively [4]. - Net profit projections for the same years are 830 million, 1.22 billion, and 1.61 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 81.3%, 46.5%, and 31.7% respectively [4].