柯成兴：没有“全球北方”，世界还能发展吗？

Core Insights - The conference at South China University of Technology focused on the theme "Reconstructing Modernization: China and the Global South," discussing the future development of global southern countries through interdisciplinary dialogue [1][3] - Professor Danny Quah emphasized the need for a new adaptive multilateralism that does not require the participation of any specific country, advocating for voluntary alliances and rule reconstruction to achieve "cooperation without malice" [1][4][5] Group 1: Multilateralism and Global Cooperation - The traditional binary thinking of cooperation versus conflict, or North versus South, should be replaced with a more nuanced understanding of international relations [4][5] - An effective international system can function without the necessity of the United States, welcoming any country that wishes to join, including China [5][6] - The concept of a "-1" international system suggests that cooperation can occur even in the absence of major powers, allowing for continued collaboration based on friendly relations [6][9] Group 2: Economic Impacts and Challenges - The "China Shock" refers to the supply-side impact of affordable Chinese products affecting global markets, while the "American Shock" represents the demand-side impact of the U.S. limiting foreign goods [7][14] - The accumulation of unresolved global issues can hinder economic growth, necessitating a focus on development and cooperation to address these challenges [10][11] - The past reliance on developed countries (Global North) as a demand source for products is shifting, leading to concerns about overcapacity and job losses in the U.S. and other countries [14][15] Group 3: New International Order - A new international order should allow for cooperation even amidst tensions between nations, focusing on mutual interests rather than requiring friendly relations [10][16] - The establishment of a new multilateral system is essential to recalibrate and balance the global economic landscape, addressing overcapacity and market competition [15][17] - The potential for a simplified global platform similar to the WTO's MPIA mechanism exists, allowing countries willing to adhere to rules to collaborate effectively [17]