以岭药业(002603)：资产质量拐点向利润率拐点传导

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a recovery in financial performance for 1H25, with significant improvements in net profit and cash flow, indicating a potential growth trajectory for 2H25 [1][2][5] Financial Performance - 1H25 revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items were 4.04 billion, 670 million, and 640 million yuan respectively, showing a year-on-year change of -12%, +26%, and +27% [1] - In 2Q25, the company achieved revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 1.68 billion, 340 million, and 320 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year changes of -19%, +51%, and +49% [1] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - The company's balance sheet and cash flow statements showed continuous improvement, with accounts receivable at 1.4 billion yuan (down 1.35 billion yuan year-on-year) and inventory at 1.47 billion yuan (down 450 million yuan year-on-year) [2] - Cash flow remained robust, with sales cash of 4.1 billion yuan (up 210 million yuan year-on-year) and net cash flow of 830 million yuan (up 570 million yuan year-on-year) [2] Product Performance - Revenue from cardiovascular products in 1H25 was 1.96 billion yuan (down 15% year-on-year), while the gross margin improved to 66% [3] - Revenue from respiratory products was 920 million yuan (down 28% year-on-year), with a gross margin of 71% [3] - Other patented products generated revenue of 250 million yuan (up 53% year-on-year), with a gross margin of 64% [3] Innovation Pipeline - The company is advancing its traditional Chinese medicine and biopharmaceutical pipelines, with several products receiving approval and progressing through clinical trials [4] Investment Rating - The company maintains a "buy" rating, with profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 1.35 billion, 1.57 billion, and 1.79 billion yuan respectively, reflecting significant year-on-year growth [5] - The target price is set at 20.18 yuan, based on a 25x PE valuation for 2025 [5]