Core Viewpoint - The company's 1H25 performance met expectations, with revenue growth but a decline in net profit, primarily due to reduced sales in the gas equipment segment and a significant drop in the smart services revenue [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company reported revenue of 15.432 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.99%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 638 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.6%, resulting in earnings per share of 0.22 yuan [1]. - For 2Q25, the company achieved revenue of 7.919 billion yuan and a net profit of 405 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 12.5% [1]. - The company’s pipeline natural gas sales volume reached 2.630 billion cubic meters, up 5.7% year-on-year, with specific sales in the Greater Bay Area and power plants showing increases of 4.7% and 12.0% respectively [1]. Business Segments - The smart services segment saw a significant revenue drop of 68.8%, totaling 319 million yuan in 1H25, primarily due to the completion of the "bottle-to-pipe" project in Shenzhen [1]. - The photovoltaic film segment reported a revenue of 1.94 billion yuan in 1H25, with a year-on-year increase of 2.3% and a 41% increase in shipment volume [2]. - Operating cash flow for the photovoltaic film business decreased by 50% year-on-year to 680 million yuan, attributed to extended payment periods [2]. Future Outlook - The profitability of the natural gas sales business is expected to improve in 2H25, potentially leading to a sequential performance recovery for the company [3]. - The smart services revenue decline is anticipated to slow down in 2H25, which may support overall performance improvement [3]. - The profitability of the photovoltaic film business remains uncertain due to competitive pressures and limited short-term price increases for EVA [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with the current stock price corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.9 times for 2025 and 12.7 times for 2026 [4]. - The company holds a target price of 8.00 yuan, implying a potential upside of 20.3% from the current stock price, based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.6 times for 2025 and 15.3 times for 2026 [4].
深圳燃气(601139):智慧服务收入下滑 1H25业绩同比-13.6%