Core Viewpoint - The company's 1H25 performance fell short of expectations, with significant declines in revenue and challenges in the trade business, while lithium battery operations showed growth and reduced losses [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The company reported 1H25 revenue of 24.19 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 51.5% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.6% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 1H25 was 820 million yuan, down 11.7% year-on-year but up 282.7% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The decline in revenue was attributed to a contraction in trade business scale and reduced demand in the aftermarket, alongside decreased government subsidies and interest income [1]. Group 2: Business Segments - The lead-acid battery segment saw a slight year-on-year decline in shipments in 1H25, with a significant improvement in gross margin, estimated at 14.5-15%, up 1.5-2 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company shipped 53.5-54 GWh of lead-acid batteries in 1H25, representing a year-on-year decrease of 4.5-5%, generating revenue of approximately 18.29 billion yuan, down about 5% [1]. - The lithium battery business achieved revenue of 501 million yuan in 1H25, a year-on-year increase of 174.6%, driven by increased demand in the domestic and U.S. markets [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 down by 30% and 28% to 61.21 billion yuan and 65.51 billion yuan, respectively, due to a slower-than-expected recovery in the aftermarket and fluctuations in non-operating income [2]. - Net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been reduced by 17% to 18.03 billion yuan and 21.57 billion yuan, respectively [2]. - Despite the challenges, the company maintains a positive outlook on its market position in the two-wheeler segment and the potential for growth in lithium battery operations, with a target price of 8.5 HKD per share [2].
天能动力(00819.HK):非经/利息收入减少减薄业绩 主营业务盈利改善较显著