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中信金融资产(02799.HK):不良主业转型持续推进

Core Viewpoint - The company's performance in 1H25 met expectations, with a revenue increase of 3% year-on-year and a net profit increase of 16% year-on-year, supported by one-time gains from equity investments [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - Revenue for 1H25 reached 31.1 billion yuan, primarily driven by one-time gains from equity investments in Bank of China and others. Excluding these gains, revenue would have decreased by 68% year-on-year due to structural adjustments in the core business [1][2] - The company recognized 21.3 billion yuan in equity investment income, with significant contributions from increased holdings in Bank of China, Everbright Bank, Daqin Railway, and China Power [1] Business Segment Performance - Revenue from acquisition and disposal business decreased by 78% due to a cautious approach in recognizing unrealized fair value losses of 1.3 billion yuan and challenges in asset disposal, which saw a 15% decline in scale [2] - Revenue from restructuring business fell by 55% as the company ceased new acquisitions and focused on clearing existing projects, resulting in a 36% decrease in non-performing debt assets [2] - Revenue from revitalization efforts increased by 65%, attributed to bridge financing and investments in struggling enterprises, with a significant focus on real estate and manufacturing sectors [2] Asset Quality and Provisions - Asset impairment losses rose by 87% to 18.7 billion yuan, leading to a total of approximately 21 billion yuan in losses when including unrealized fair value losses, which offset the recognized equity investment income [3] - The company's overall provision coverage ratio improved by 44 percentage points to 270% compared to 2024 [3] Valuation and Forecast - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-book ratio of 1.76x for 2025E and 1.42x for 2026E, with a neutral rating and a target price of 1.21 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 5% [3]