Group 1 - The central bank's exchange rate policy remains consistent, emphasizing the decisive role of the market in exchange rate formation and adhering to bottom-line thinking [3] - The market is optimistic about the appreciation of the RMB against the USD by the end of the year, as indicated by the performance of forward prices [3] - The current spot price of the RMB against the USD has shown a strengthening trend since August [3] Group 2 - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 12.6%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 87.4% [2] - For October, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged is 5.6%, with cumulative probabilities for a 25 basis point cut at 45.8% and a 50 basis point cut at 48.6% [2] Group 3 - The RMB/USD central parity rate was reported at 7.1072, reflecting a decrease of 42 points [1]
人民币兑美元中间价报7.1072，下调42点
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-01 01:31