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浙商证券:积极回购重视股东回报 维持中国宏桥“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-01 02:44

Core Viewpoint - The electrolytic aluminum industry is in an upward cycle, benefiting from rising aluminum prices and low coal prices, leading to significant profit elasticity for China Hongqiao (01378) [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 81 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.1%, with a gross profit of 20.8 billion yuan, up 30 billion yuan, representing a growth rate of 17% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 12.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32%, with a basic earnings per share of 1.314 yuan, up approximately 36% [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The revenue from liquid aluminum alloys and aluminum alloy ingots was approximately 51.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5%, with a gross profit of 13.1 billion yuan, up 9.5 billion yuan, representing an 8% growth [2] - The revenue from alumina was about 20.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28%, with a gross profit of 5.9 billion yuan, up 18 billion yuan, representing a 44% growth [2] - The revenue from aluminum processing products was approximately 8.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6%, with a gross profit of 1.9 billion yuan, up 2.8 billion yuan, representing an 18% increase [3] Group 3: Capacity and Cost Management - The increase in shareholding in Yunnan Hongtai from 75% to 100% will enhance the company's rights to 203,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum capacity, resulting in an increase of approximately 40,600 tons in equity capacity [4] - The average electricity price in Yunnan is expected to decrease from 0.49 yuan per kWh in the first half of 2024 to 0.42 yuan per kWh in the second half, significantly reducing production costs [5] Group 4: Mining Operations - The profit from the Guinea bauxite mine increased to approximately 1.8 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 119% [6] - The company has established a strong raw material supply capability through its overseas bauxite layout and is expected to enhance profits with the upcoming West Simandou iron ore project [6] Group 5: Shareholder Returns - The company plans to repurchase shares for no less than 3 billion Hong Kong dollars, reflecting confidence in its long-term value [7] - The company has maintained a high dividend payout ratio of around 50% since 2021, with a cash dividend total of 13.9 billion yuan in 2024 [7]